{"id":24454,"date":"2026-03-12T09:49:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T09:49:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=24454"},"modified":"2026-03-12T09:49:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T09:49:39","slug":"market-update-12th-march-2026-oil-is-rising-and-markets-are-finally-paying-attention","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/vi\/daily-analysis\/market-update-12th-march-2026-oil-is-rising-and-markets-are-finally-paying-attention\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: 12 th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2026 - Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111ang t\u0103ng - V\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u0169ng \u0111ang ch\u00fa \u00fd."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng qua, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI), vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n h\u1ea1 c\u00e1nh m\u1ec1m.<br \/>\nHi\u1ec7n nay, d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf \u0111ang nh\u1eafc nh\u1edf m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u1eb1ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh nh\u1edd n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $100 USD\/th\u00f9ng, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i do s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u m\u00e0 do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t leo thang li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Iran v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Khi eo bi\u1ec3n h\u1eaft h\u01a1i, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb c\u1ea3m l\u1ea1nh.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng tin t\u1ee9c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 OPEC hay m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ngu\u1ed3n cung th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00f3 xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ea7u qua khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, m\u1ed9t tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n n\u0103m ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i di\u1ec5n ra m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1eady.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 cao h\u01a1n.<br \/>\nH\u1ecd gh\u00e9t s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh cung \u1ee9ng \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p.<\/p>\n<p><strong>C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IEA) \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn t\u1eeb kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh kho\u1ea3ng 400 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng, nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p hi\u1ebfm khi gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n<p>H\u1ecd mua th\u1eddi gian.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p><strong>V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u1ea1i t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Trong su\u1ed1t n\u0103m qua, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1eadn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd s\u1edbm c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u k\u00e9o d\u00e0i s\u1ebd l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nhanh ch\u00f3ng.<\/p>\n<p>N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9:<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng<\/p>\n<p>Ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng lan r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 b\u1ee9c tranh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng th\u00edch h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t khi gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u1eabn \u0111ang gi\u1ea3 v\u1edd nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111ang ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p quen thu\u1ed9c gi\u1eefa l\u1ea1c quan v\u00e0 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu dao \u0111\u1ed9ng khi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt\u2026 r\u1ed3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng t\u1ef1 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ec9nh tho\u1ea3ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00fang.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u01b0ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y: nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf k\u00e9o d\u00e0i cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea3 hai.<br \/>\nTh\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 hai.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ba \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nay<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd ba t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sau:<\/p>\n<p>1. K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng cao tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i xa h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>2. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ch\u00fang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>3. L\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00f3 m\u1edbi l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 kh\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 ti\u1ebfng \u1ed3n.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n<p><strong>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh s\u00e1u th\u00e1ng qua \u0111\u1ec3 lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7.<\/p>\n<p>Hi\u1ec7n nay, h\u1ecd \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc nh\u1edf v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c $150 m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao \u0111\u1ee7 l\u00e2u \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n an to\u00e0n m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f9 sao th\u00ec, h\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i l\u1ea7n sau, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u1ea1n h\u00e3y giao d\u1ecbch an to\u00e0n nh\u00e9!<\/p>\n<p>B\u1edfi James Trescothick<br \/>\nTr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/p>\n<p>Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb r\u1ee7i ro: Th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 d\u00e0nh cho m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Lu\u00f4n t\u1ef1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng qua, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI), vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n h\u1ea1 c\u00e1nh m\u1ec1m. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf \u0111ang nh\u1eafc nh\u1edf m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u1eb1ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $100 USD\/th\u00f9ng, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i do s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u m\u00e0 do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t leo thang li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Iran v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Market Update: 12th March 2026- Oil Is Rising \u2014 And Markets Are Finally Paying Attention - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/vi\/daily-analysis\/market-update-12th-march-2026-oil-is-rising-and-markets-are-finally-paying-attention\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Update: 12th March 2026- Oil Is Rising \u2014 And Markets Are Finally Paying Attention - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For months the market has been obsessed with AI, rate cuts, and the soft-landing narrative. 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