{"id":23988,"date":"2025-09-16T08:34:05","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T08:34:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=23988"},"modified":"2025-09-16T08:34:05","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T08:34:05","slug":"market-update-16th-september-2025-gold-fed-high-stakes-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/vi\/daily-analysis\/market-update-16th-september-2025-gold-fed-high-stakes-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Ng\u00e0y 16 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2025 \u2013 V\u00e0ng v\u00e0 Fed: R\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc"},"content":{"rendered":"

B\u1ee9c tranh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111ang y\u1ebfu \u0111i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111ang m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0, v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 ng\u1eebng gi\u1ea3m. T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y mai, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng 0,25%.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y: kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f2n n\u1eb1m \u1edf nh\u1eefng g\u00ec Powell v\u00e0 Fed n\u00f3i k\u00e8m theo. N\u1ebfu h\u1ecd m\u1edf c\u1eeda cho vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi. N\u1ebfu h\u1ecd t\u1ecf ra th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, th\u00ec gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, v\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf. C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang d\u1ea7n quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 ETF, v\u00e0 UBS th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2025 l\u00ean $3.800\/oz*. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c b\u1ed7ng ch\u1ed1c tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 tin vui, mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 Fed ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u00f4n h\u00f2a v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y mai.<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 Miran<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Washington, m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Steve Miran, m\u1ed9t ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t t\u1ea1i Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng, cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn v\u00e0o H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Fed. Cu\u1ed9c b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu di\u1ec5n ra r\u1ea5t s\u00edt sao, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y kh\u00e1 b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00ec Miran s\u1ebd v\u1eabn g\u1eafn b\u00f3 v\u1edbi Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng trong th\u1eddi gian l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1i Fed. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u tranh c\u00e3i v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i sao \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng? \u0110\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n th\u00f4i. Miran n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u00e2u h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u00f4n h\u00f2a h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang t\u1ef1 h\u1ecfi li\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Fed kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y mai, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t quan \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng h\u01a1n, \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u01a1n trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng \u0111ang n\u00f3i g\u00ec v\u1edbi ch\u00fang ta<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u00e9 l\u1ed9 r\u1eb1ng n\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Fed. Gi\u00e1 \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $3.700 (t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i), m\u1ee9c m\u00e0 m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111ang theo d\u00f5i. Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c $3.665\u2013$3.675, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu Powell nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u00f4n h\u00f2a v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y mai, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 di chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean m\u1ee9c $3.740 ho\u1eb7c cao h\u01a1n. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, m\u1ed9t b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd mang t\u00ednh di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng $3.615\u2013$3.645.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n v\u1ebft c\u1eaft m\u00e0 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng chi ti\u1ebft xung quanh n\u00f3:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2022 Li\u1ec7u Fed c\u00f3 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo hay ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n duy nh\u1ea5t?<\/p>\n

\u2022 H\u1ecd ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o, hay l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1?<\/p>\n

\u2022 Li\u1ec7u \u201cbi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ch\u1ea5m\u201d kh\u00e9t ti\u1ebfng c\u00f3 \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

Suy ngh\u0129 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 xoay quanh vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n; m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n m\u00e0 Fed mu\u1ed1n k\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin r\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, v\u00e0ng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $3.700 v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng $3.740\u2013$3.780. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu Powell ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n, kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0.
\nQuy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u00e0y mai l\u00e0 s\u00e2n kh\u1ea5u, nh\u01b0ng giai \u0111i\u1ec7u m\u1edbi l\u00e0 m\u00e0n tr\u00ecnh di\u1ec5n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 sao th\u00ec, h\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i l\u1ea7n sau, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u1ea1n h\u00e3y giao d\u1ecbch an to\u00e0n nh\u00e9!<\/p>\n

B\u1edfi James Trescothick
\nTr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/p>\n

*Ngu\u1ed3n: Reuters<\/p>\n

Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb r\u1ee7i ro: Th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 d\u00e0nh cho m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Lu\u00f4n t\u1ef1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111ang y\u1ebfu \u0111i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111ang m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0, v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 ng\u1eebng gi\u1ea3m. T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y mai khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng 0,25%. Nh\u01b0ng [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMarket Update: 16th September 2025 \u2013 Gold & Fed: High Stakes Ahead - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/vi\/daily-analysis\/market-update-16th-september-2025-gold-fed-high-stakes-ahead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Update: 16th September 2025 \u2013 Gold & Fed: High Stakes Ahead - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Bigger Picture The U.S. economy is giving off mixed vibes right now. Job markets are softening, growth looks like it\u2019s losing a bit of steam, and inflation has stopped falling. Put that all together and the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting rates tomorrow have the markets almost certain of a 0.25% move. 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