{"id":23770,"date":"2025-07-01T09:28:30","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T09:28:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=23770"},"modified":"2025-07-23T13:42:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T13:42:45","slug":"market-update-1st-july-2025-june-wraps-up-a-chaotic-first-6-months-of-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/vi\/daily-analysis\/market-update-1st-july-2025-june-wraps-up-a-chaotic-first-6-months-of-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Ng\u00e0y 1 th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2025 - Th\u00e1ng 6 kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u1ea7y h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Hoa K\u1ef3<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025 v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng cao, S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq v\u00e0 Dow \u0111\u1ec1u ghi nh\u1eadn th\u00e1ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. S\u00e1ng nay, h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111ang gi\u1eef v\u1eefng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao m\u1edbi, cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1c quan khi m\u1edf c\u1eeda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>S\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, v\u1edbi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4 la \u1edf m\u1ee9c y\u1ebfu nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022. \u0110\u1ed3ng euro \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean $1.18 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 n\u1ee3 li\u00ean bang v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c Fed ph\u1ea3i c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t<\/p>\n<p><strong>C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 sau m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a OPEC+ \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n<\/p>\n<p><strong>C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1edbc NFP<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>1. \u00c1p l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, t\u00e1i xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u00f4ng khai v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ghi ch\u00fa vi\u1ebft tay. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i c\u1ee7a Fed nh\u01b0 Michelle Bowman v\u00e0 Chris Waller ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n tr\u00ean b\u00e0n m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai (hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u01b0\u1ee3c ~23%)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i &amp; Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Gi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng thu\u1ebf d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Canada v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh tr\u00ean m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn c\u00f2n: Ng\u00e0y 9 th\u00e1ng 7 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng thu\u1ebf quan trong 90 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt l\u1edbn m\u1edbi t\u1ea1i Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Theo d\u00f5i NFP v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 n\u0103m<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>L\u1ecbch ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 r\u00fat ng\u1eafn trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m th\u00e1ng 6 s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 n\u0103m. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam 110.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ph\u1ea7n k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>H\u00f4m nay c\u00f3 c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh l\u1eb7ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u01a1n b\u00e3o. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u1edf g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1c th\u1eddi gian giao d\u1ecbch, d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 Fed kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ea5p. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 theo d\u00f5i v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, thanh kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ch\u00e9o khi ch\u00fang ta ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f9 sao th\u00ec, h\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i l\u1ea7n sau, m\u1ecdi giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec1u an to\u00e0n!<\/p>\n<p>B\u1edfi James Trescothick<br \/>\nTr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/p>\n<p>Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb r\u1ee7i ro: Th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 d\u00e0nh cho m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Lu\u00f4n t\u1ef1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu &amp; H\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Hoa K\u1ef3 C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025 v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u1ed1t cao, S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq v\u00e0 Dow \u0111\u1ec1u ghi nh\u1eadn hai th\u00e1ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. S\u00e1ng nay, h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111ang gi\u1eef v\u1eefng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao m\u1edbi, cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1c quan khi m\u1edf c\u1eeda. \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la y\u1ebfu \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23862,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trading Market Updates June 2025 | OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It\u2019s a day for watching positioning, liquidity, and cross-asset flows as we edge toward Thursday\u2019s pivotal U.S. jobs report. 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