Giá vàng tăng vọt lên mức cao lịch sử trong bối cảnh chính sách lãi suất của Hoa Kỳ và sự lạc quan của thị trường

Gold has reached unprecedented levels, surging to $3,057.59 following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates for the third consecutive time. This stability, coupled with growing investor optimism about a potential rate cut later this year, has significantly contributed to gold’s bullish momentum. Additionally, the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump have added a layer of economic uncertainty, further driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Despite reaching these historic highs, gold is currently experiencing a corrective pullback to $3,040, following the completion of the third Elliott wave. This correction aligns with a potential fourth wave retracement, which could bring gold prices down to the $3,000 mark or extend further to $2,975 before resuming its upward trajectory. From a technical perspective, gold remains in a strong long-term uptrend, supported by macroeconomic fundamentals and global risk sentiment.

US Dollar Strengthens Amid Market Demand

The US dollar has exhibited notable strength, rebounding sharply from the 103.517 level with a 0.44% increase. This rise is accompanied by overbought conditions on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the presence of positive reversal divergences, suggesting a continuation toward the 105–106 range. A stronger dollar could put downward pressure on other major currencies, particularly the euro, which has experienced substantial gains since the beginning of the year, emerging as one of the strongest performers in the Forex market.

US Indices Rebound from Trade Policy Shock

The S&P 500 has shown resilience after an initial sharp decline triggered by Trump’s tariff policies. The index rebounded by 1.95% from the 5,604.58 level, a key demand zone that has provided significant support. This recovery indicates that despite trade policy uncertainties, investors remain confident in the broader market’s ability to absorb shocks and sustain upward momentum.

Outlook and Market Implications

Looking ahead, the interplay between kỳ vọng lãi suất, US dollar strength, and global trade policies will continue to shape financial markets. If the Federal Reserve signals a shift toward a more accommodative stance, gold could resume its rally beyond current highs. Conversely, if economic data supports a stronger dollar, risk assets such as equities and commodities may experience heightened volatility.

For traders and investors, maintaining a keen eye on upcoming Federal Reserve statements, inflation reports, and geopolitical developments will be crucial in navigating market movements.

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