{"id":24048,"date":"2025-09-29T13:49:02","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T13:49:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=24048"},"modified":"2025-09-29T13:49:02","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T13:49:02","slug":"stocks-climb-gold-roars-dollar-dips-all-eyes-on-u-s-shutdown-and-jobs-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/pt\/daily-analysis\/stocks-climb-gold-roars-dollar-dips-all-eyes-on-u-s-shutdown-and-jobs-report\/","title":{"rendered":"As ac\u00e7\u00f5es sobem, o ouro dispara, o d\u00f3lar desce - todas as aten\u00e7\u00f5es est\u00e3o viradas para o encerramento dos EUA e para o relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego"},"content":{"rendered":"

Atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado - 29 de setembro de 2025<\/h2>\n

As ac\u00e7\u00f5es sobem, o ouro dispara, o d\u00f3lar desce - todas as aten\u00e7\u00f5es est\u00e3o viradas para o encerramento dos EUA e para o relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\n

Manchetes de hoje e rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n

    As ac\u00e7\u00f5es globais subiram com o regresso do apetite pelo risco, alimentado pelo otimismo em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a novos cortes nas taxas de juro dos E.U.A. e pela diminui\u00e7\u00e3o da for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Ouro<\/strong> subiu para novos m\u00e1ximos acima de $3,800 por on\u00e7a<\/strong>A taxa de c\u00e2mbio do euro \u00e9 de 1,5%, com base nas expectativas monet\u00e1rias dovish e num d\u00f3lar mais fraco.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Em contrapartida, o D\u00f3lar americano<\/strong> caiu com os mercados a preverem uma maior flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o por parte da Fed, o que complica a sua din\u00e2mica a curto prazo.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    As bolsas do Golfo e do M\u00e9dio Oriente tamb\u00e9m registaram ganhos, impulsionadas pela expetativa de cortes nas taxas de juro dos EUA e por um ambiente externo favor\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo ca\u00edram devido a novas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a oferta - a regi\u00e3o do Curdist\u00e3o iraquiano retomou as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es e espera-se que a OPEP+ aprove aumentos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o em novembro.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \n

    \ud83d\udd0d Os grandes temas que impulsionam a mudan\u00e7a<\/h3>\n

    1. Incerteza do encerramento do governo dos EUA<\/strong><\/h4>\n

    Os legisladores em Washington est\u00e3o sob press\u00e3o para aprovar uma lei de financiamento a curto prazo at\u00e9 1 de outubro. Se ocorrer uma paralisa\u00e7\u00e3o, isso poder\u00e1 atrasar a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o de dados econ\u00f3micos cr\u00edticos, como o relat\u00f3rio sobre as folhas de pagamento n\u00e3o agr\u00edcolas de setembro - o que deixaria a Reserva Federal a navegar no escuro antes da sua pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

    Os analistas observam que um encerramento prolongado poder\u00e1 afetar ligeiramente o crescimento do PIB (por exemplo, -0,1 pontos percentuais por semana), mas poder\u00e1 ter efeitos muito maiores na confian\u00e7a e na volatilidade do mercado.<\/p>\n

    2. Expectativas de corte de taxas e observa\u00e7\u00e3o do Fed<\/strong><\/h4>\n

    Os mercados est\u00e3o a prever um novo corte da Reserva Federal em outubro (\u2248 90% de probabilidade) e um segundo corte em dezembro (\u2248 65%), de acordo com a ferramenta CME FedWatch.<\/p>\n

    Ainda assim, a Fed enfrenta um equil\u00edbrio delicado: a infla\u00e7\u00e3o mant\u00e9m-se acima do objetivo e alguns dados recentes t\u00eam sido mais robustos do que o previsto. O pr\u00f3ximo relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego nos EUA ser\u00e1 fundamental para orientar as expectativas do mercado.<\/p>\n

    3. Press\u00e3o sobre os produtos de base e a energia<\/strong><\/h4>\n
      \n
    • \n

      \u00d3leo<\/strong> est\u00e1 sob press\u00e3o - A regi\u00e3o do Curdist\u00e3o iraquiano retomou os fluxos ap\u00f3s mais de dois anos, injectando 180 000-190 000 barris por dia no mercado.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Espera-se que a OPEP+ concorde em aumentar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o em ~137.000 barris por dia em novembro, possivelmente enfraquecendo ainda mais a narrativa de alta do petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      A fraqueza no sector da energia ajudou a arrastar para baixo as energias em geral e as ac\u00e7\u00f5es ligadas aos produtos de base, mesmo com a subida de metais como o ouro.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      4. Mercados regionais aproveitam os ventos favor\u00e1veis dos EUA<\/strong><\/h4>\n

      Os mercados do Golfo subiram hoje, com o \u00edndice da Ar\u00e1bia Saudita a registar ganhos de ~1,8%. O movimento est\u00e1 diretamente ligado ao otimismo dos investidores em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos cortes nas taxas dos E.U.A. e \u00e0 flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria.<\/p>\n

      Por outro lado, as ac\u00e7\u00f5es europeias subiram, impulsionadas pela for\u00e7a dos sectores da tecnologia e da sa\u00fade, mesmo com o encerramento dos EUA no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

      \n

      \ud83d\udcca Perspectivas t\u00e9cnicas e de mercado<\/h3>\n

      Ouro (XAU\/USD):<\/strong>
      O passado da fuga do ouro $3,800<\/strong> sinaliza um impulso crescente. Zonas de suporte de curto prazo a serem observadas: ~$3,750, $3,700. A resist\u00eancia pode surgir perto de $3,830\u2013$3,850<\/strong>. Dadas as fracas taxas de rendibilidade reais e as expectativas dovish em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s taxas, a tend\u00eancia de subida poder\u00e1 persistir, desde que a fraqueza do d\u00f3lar se mantenha.<\/p>\n

      D\u00f3lar americano e DXY:<\/strong>
      O d\u00f3lar enfrenta ventos contr\u00e1rios. A incapacidade do \u00edndice para recuperar 98<\/strong> sugere que pode permanecer sob press\u00e3o. A menos que os dados dos E.U.A. surpreendam, parece prov\u00e1vel uma nova descida, o que apoiaria ainda mais o ouro e os fluxos de mercadorias.<\/p>\n

      Ac\u00e7\u00f5es e sentimento:<\/strong>
      As ac\u00e7\u00f5es mundiais apresentam uma tend\u00eancia ascendente, mas as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o, juntamente com os riscos macroecon\u00f3micos (encerramentos, pol\u00edtica tarif\u00e1ria, infla\u00e7\u00e3o), implicam que a volatilidade poder\u00e1 aumentar. O pr\u00f3ximo relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego nos Estados Unidos e os lucros das empresas ter\u00e3o uma import\u00e2ncia enorme.<\/p>\n

      \n

      \ud83e\udded O que ver esta semana<\/h3>\n
      \n
      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      Evento<\/th>\nImport\u00e2ncia<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
      Folhas de pagamento n\u00e3o-agr\u00edcolas e desemprego nos EUA<\/td>\nPoder\u00e1 confirmar ou fazer descarrilar as expectativas da Fed em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao pivot.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Dados PMI e de fabrico (E.U.A., Europa, China)<\/td>\nAjudar\u00e1 a avaliar a din\u00e2mica do crescimento global.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Projeto de lei de financiamento do governo dos EUA<\/td>\nDetermina se os mercados enfrentam apag\u00f5es de dados.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Resultados das empresas (sobretudo tecnol\u00f3gicas)<\/td>\nFundamental para manter as tend\u00eancias de equidade.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Reuni\u00e3o da OPEP+ e relat\u00f3rios sobre a oferta de petr\u00f3leo<\/td>\nA press\u00e3o sobre a energia pode transformar-se num movimento mais amplo dos produtos de base.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
      \n

      \ud83d\udd1a Considera\u00e7\u00f5es finais<\/h3>\n

      Em 29 de setembro de 2025<\/strong>Na semana passada, os mercados est\u00e3o a exibir a cl\u00e1ssica postura \"risk on\" - as ac\u00e7\u00f5es a subir, o d\u00f3lar a cair e o ouro a avan\u00e7ar. No entanto, este otimismo assenta numa base delicada: o resultado da pol\u00edtica fiscal dos E.U.A., o pr\u00f3ximo relat\u00f3rio sobre o trabalho e a rea\u00e7\u00e3o da Reserva Federal.<\/p>\n

      A fuga do ouro \u00e9 convincente, mas \u00e9 vulner\u00e1vel a surpresas na frente da infla\u00e7\u00e3o ou dos dados. A postura suave do d\u00f3lar pode continuar, a menos que surpresas macroecon\u00f3micas alterem o sentimento. E os mercados acionistas, embora din\u00e2micos, podem sofrer abalos se a pol\u00edtica ou os lucros decepcionarem.<\/p>\n

      Em suma: estamos num ambiente de alto risco. A narrativa continua a ser fluida - e os pr\u00f3ximos dias podem alterar o caminho para o quarto trimestre e para 2026.<\/p>\n

      \n

      Por Motasm Adel<\/strong>
      Analista e investigador de mercado<\/em><\/p>\n

      Declara\u00e7\u00e3o de risco:<\/strong> Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o destina-se apenas a fins educativos e n\u00e3o constitui um conselho de investimento. Os mercados financeiros envolvem riscos e o desempenho passado n\u00e3o \u00e9 indicativo de resultados futuros. Realize sempre a sua pr\u00f3pria investiga\u00e7\u00e3o e procure aconselhamento profissional antes de tomar decis\u00f5es de investimento.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado - 29 de setembro de 2025 As a\u00e7\u00f5es sobem, o ouro ruge, o d\u00f3lar cai - Todos os olhos na paralisa\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA e no relat\u00f3rio de empregos \u26a1 Manchetes de hoje e rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado As a\u00e7\u00f5es globais subiram com o retorno do apetite pelo risco, alimentado pelo otimismo sobre novos cortes nas taxas dos EUA e a redu\u00e7\u00e3o da for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar. O ouro subiu para novos m\u00e1ximos acima de $3,800 por on\u00e7a, cavalgando [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":24049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,31,38,34,33,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-economic-calendar-events","category-market-analysis","category-markets-to-watch","category-special-reports","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nStocks Climb, Gold Roars, Dollar Dips \u2014 All Eyes on U.S. Shutdown and Jobs Report - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/OneRoyal.news\/th\/daily-analysis\/stocks-climb-gold-roars-dollar-dips-all-eyes-on-u-s-shutdown-and-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stocks Climb, Gold Roars, Dollar Dips \u2014 All Eyes on U.S. Shutdown and Jobs Report - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Update \u2014 29 September 2025 Stocks Climb, Gold Roars, Dollar Dips \u2014 All Eyes on U.S. Shutdown and Jobs Report \u26a1 Today\u2019s Headlines & Market Reaction Global equities rose as risk\u2010appetite returned, fueled by optimism over further U.S. rate cuts and easing dollar strength. 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