O que est\u00e1 a acontecer neste momento<\/strong><\/p>\nWall Street tem estado de bom humor, arrastando consigo os mercados asi\u00e1ticos e europeus. As esperan\u00e7as de dinheiro mais barato deram um impulso aos investidores. O Nikkei do Jap\u00e3o tem estado especialmente animado, gra\u00e7as aos seus queridinhos da tecnologia e da IA, enquanto os \u00edndices europeus est\u00e3o a acompanhar calmamente, apesar das suas pr\u00f3prias preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o crescimento.<\/p>\n
Nos EUA, a hist\u00f3ria \u00e9 mais um ato de equil\u00edbrio. A infla\u00e7\u00e3o subiu para 2,9% em agosto, o que n\u00e3o \u00e9 exatamente o que a Reserva Federal queria ver. Ao mesmo tempo, os pedidos de subs\u00eddio de desemprego aumentaram, o que indica que o mercado de trabalho est\u00e1 a perder algum f\u00f4lego. Assim, a Reserva Federal encontra-se no dilema cl\u00e1ssico: reduzir as taxas para apoiar o emprego e correr o risco de fomentar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o ou manter-se firme e correr o risco de arrefecer ainda mais a economia. De qualquer forma, algu\u00e9m n\u00e3o vai ficar contente.<\/p>\n
Os produtos de base est\u00e3o a contar a sua pr\u00f3pria hist\u00f3ria. Os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo ca\u00edram, uma vez que se espera que a oferta ultrapasse a procura. S\u00e3o boas not\u00edcias para os automobilistas, mas n\u00e3o t\u00e3o boas para os stocks de energia.<\/p>\n
O que ver na pr\u00f3xima semana<\/strong><\/p>\nO principal acontecimento \u00e9 a reuni\u00e3o de quarta-feira da Fed. \u00c9 largamente esperado um corte de um quarto de ponto, que os mercados j\u00e1 est\u00e3o a prever. Mas o verdadeiro drama \u00e9 o que Jerome Powell vai dizer a seguir. Ir\u00e1 ele sugerir mais cortes no futuro, ou ser cauteloso e lembrar-nos que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o ainda n\u00e3o foi domada?<\/p>\n
Considera\u00e7\u00f5es finais<\/strong><\/p>\nA reuni\u00e3o da Fed da pr\u00f3xima semana \u00e9 a grande pe\u00e7a do cen\u00e1rio, mas lembre-se: o corte em si n\u00e3o \u00e9 a hist\u00f3ria toda. O que importa \u00e9 o caminho a seguir. Estaremos perante uma s\u00e9rie de cortes, ou ser\u00e1 um trabalho \u00fanico?
\nPor agora, os mercados est\u00e3o animados, talvez um pouco demasiado animados. Como sempre, vale a pena aproveitar a viagem, mas manter o cinto de seguran\u00e7a apertado. O caminho que se avizinha pode ainda ser acidentado.<\/p>\n
De qualquer forma, at\u00e9 \u00e0 pr\u00f3xima, todos voc\u00eas negoceiem em seguran\u00e7a!<\/p>\n
Por James Trescothick
\nDiretor de Estudos de Mercado e An\u00e1lise de Mercado<\/p>\n
Aviso de risco: Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o destina-se apenas a fins educativos e n\u00e3o constitui um conselho de investimento. Os mercados financeiros envolvem riscos e o desempenho passado n\u00e3o \u00e9 indicativo de resultados futuros. Realize sempre a sua pr\u00f3pria investiga\u00e7\u00e3o e procure aconselhamento profissional antes de tomar decis\u00f5es de investimento.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Se os mercados fossem uma telenovela, esta semana estaria repleta de grandes surpresas. As ac\u00e7\u00f5es t\u00eam subido, o petr\u00f3leo tem estado amuado e toda a gente est\u00e1 \u00e0 espera da grande revela\u00e7\u00e3o da Reserva Federal na pr\u00f3xima semana. A quest\u00e3o \u00e9 simples: ser\u00e1 que a Reserva Federal vai baixar as taxas e, igualmente importante, o que \u00e9 que vai dizer sobre o que vem a seguir? [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23981,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Market Update: 12th September 2025- The Fed\u2019s Big Moment Is Almost Here - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.news\/fa\/daily-analysis\/market-update-12th-september-2025-the-feds-big-moment-is-almost-here\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Update: 12th September 2025- The Fed\u2019s Big Moment Is Almost Here - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If markets were a soap opera, this week has been full of cliff-hangers. Stocks have been climbing, oil has been sulking, and everyone\u2019s waiting for the big reveal from the Federal Reserve next week. The question is simple: will the Fed cut rates and just as importantly what will they say about what comes next? 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