{"id":24505,"date":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=24505"},"modified":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","slug":"oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/ms\/market-analysis\/oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants\/","title":{"rendered":"Minyak vs Dolar: Pertempuran Senyap yang Menggerakkan Pasaran\u2026 dan Apa Sebenarnya yang Dikehendaki Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gambaran Keseluruhan<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Pada masa ini, pasaran tidak hanya bertindak balas terhadap tajuk utama \u2014 ia bergerak berdasarkan hubungan yang lebih mendalam yang sering dipandang rendah oleh pedagang: hubungan antara minyak mentah dan dolar AS.<\/p>\n

Tambah pula dengan kembalinya tekanan politik daripada Donald Trump, dan kita sedang melihat persekitaran pasaran di mana ekonomi dan politik saling berkait rapat.<\/p>\n

Mari kita pecahkannya dengan cara yang mudah.<\/p>\n

Hubungan Teras: Minyak vs Dolar<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Terdapat hubungan songsang yang terkenal antara minyak dan dolar AS.<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Apabila dolar meningkat \u2192 minyak biasanya merosot<\/li>\n
  • Apabila dolar melemah \u2192 minyak cenderung meningkat<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Mengapa?<\/p>\n

    Kerana minyak dihargai dalam dolar. Dolar yang lebih kuat menjadikan minyak lebih mahal bagi negara lain, yang mengurangkan permintaan. Dolar yang lebih lemah pula melakukan sebaliknya \u2014 ia menyokong permintaan dan menolak harga ke paras lebih tinggi.<\/p>\n

    Apa yang Kita Lihat Sekarang (Pandangan Teknikal)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

    Daripada carta:<\/p>\n

    Minyak AS (WTI)<\/strong><\/h3>\n
      \n
    • Harga baru-baru ini bertindak balas daripada zon bekalan yang kukuh berhampiran $100<\/strong><\/li>\n
    • Kami melihat penolakan diikuti oleh pengukuhan.<\/li>\n
    • Pergerakan semasa menunjukkan penstabilan di atas $90\u201392<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Ini memberitahu kita:<\/p>\n

        \n
      • Para pembeli masih aktif<\/li>\n
      • Tetapi pasaran sedang menunggu pemangkin untuk terus meningkat.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Dolar AS (DXY)<\/strong><\/h3>\n
          \n
        • Dolar perlahan-lahan meningkat semula.<\/li>\n
        • Kawasan sasaran jelas berada di sekitar 100.30<\/strong><\/li>\n
        • Momentum sedang terbina selepas mengekalkan sokongan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Ini menimbulkan konflik:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • Dolar yang lebih kuat = tekanan ke atas minyak<\/li>\n
          • Tetapi risiko geopolitik = sokongan untuk minyak<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Itulah sebabnya pasaran bergerak mendatar dan bukannya menendakan secara agresif.<\/p>\n

            Jadi, di manakah peranan Trump dalam hal ini?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

            Donald Trump sentiasa sangat jelas tentang satu perkara:<\/p>\n

            \ud83d\udc49 Dia lebih suka harga minyak yang lebih rendah<\/strong>
            \n\ud83d\udc49 Dia lebih suka a ekonomi AS yang kukuh (bukan semestinya dolar yang terlalu kuat)<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Mengapa?<\/p>\n

              \n
            • Harga minyak tinggi = inflasi lebih tinggi<\/li>\n
            • Inflasi yang lebih tinggi = tekanan ke atas pengguna dan perniagaan<\/li>\n
            • Itu secara langsung menjejaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kestabilan politik.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              Jadi secara tidak langsung, sebarang tekanan ke arah:<\/p>\n

                \n
              • Meningkatkan bekalan<\/li>\n
              • Mengurangkan ketegangan geopolitik<\/li>\n
              • Atau malah mempengaruhi dasar<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                \u2026boleh dilihat sebagai satu usaha untuk mengawal minyak.<\/p>\n

                Apa yang ditunggu oleh pasaran<\/strong><\/h2>\n

                Pada masa ini, pedagang sedang memerhatikan tiga perkara utama:<\/p>\n

                1. Kekuatan Dolar<\/strong><\/h3>\n

                Jika DXY menembusi paras atas 100.30<\/strong>, kita boleh melihat:<\/p>\n

                  \n
                • Tekanan lebih ke atas minyak<\/li>\n
                • Kemungkinan penarikan balik ke arah 88\u201390<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                  2. Perkembangan Geopolitik<\/strong><\/h3>\n

                  Sebarang peningkatan ketegangan:<\/p>\n

                    \n
                  • Mendukung minyak dengan tegas<\/li>\n
                  • Boleh menafikan sepenuhnya kekuatan dolar<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                    3. Berita Pihak Pembekal<\/strong><\/h3>\n
                      \n
                    • Keputusan OPEC<\/li>\n
                    • Gangguan penghantaran<\/li>\n
                    • Perubahan pengeluaran<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                      Ini adalah pemacu utama untuk langkah seterusnya.<\/p>\n

                      Kesimpulan<\/strong><\/h2>\n

                      Pasaran kini berada dalam keadaan seimbang tetapi rapuh.<\/p>\n

                        \n
                      • Minyak disokong\u2026 tetapi tidak berjaya menembusi paras rintangan<\/li>\n
                      • Dolar sedang meningkat\u2026 tetapi tidak secara agresif<\/li>\n
                      • Politik menambah ketidakpastian<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                        Ini bukan pasaran tren \u2014 ini adalah zon keputusan<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

                        Langkah besar seterusnya akan datang dari:
                        \n\ud83d\udc49 Penembusan jelas dalam dolar
                        \n\ud83d\udc49 Atau peralihan geopolitik besar<\/p>\n

                        Sehingga saat itu, pedagang bijak bersabar dan membiarkan pasaran mendedahkan arah.<\/p>\n

                        Disiapkan oleh: Motasm Adel
                        \nPenganalisis Pasaran Kanan \u2013 OneRoyal<\/strong><\/p>\n

                        Penafian Risiko:<\/strong>
                        \nPerdagangan dalam pasaran kewangan melibatkan tahap risiko yang tinggi dan mungkin tidak sesuai untuk semua pelabur. Maklumat yang diberikan dalam artikel ini adalah untuk tujuan pendidikan dan maklumat sahaja dan tidak boleh dianggap sebagai nasihat pelaburan atau cadangan untuk membeli atau menjual mana-mana instrumen kewangan.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                        Ringkasan Pada masa ini, pasaran tidak hanya bertindak balas terhadap tajuk utama \u2014 ia bergerak berdasarkan hubungan yang lebih mendalam yang sering dipandang rendah oleh pedagang: hubungan antara minyak mentah dan dolar AS. Tambah pula dengan kembalinya tekanan politik daripada Donald Trump, dan kita sedang melihat persekitaran pasaran di mana ekonomi dan politik [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":24506,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOil vs Dollar: The Silent Battle Driving Markets\u2026 and What Trump Really Wants - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/OneRoyal.news\/cn\/market-analysis\/oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oil vs Dollar: The Silent Battle Driving Markets\u2026 and What Trump Really Wants - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Overview Right now, markets are not just reacting to headlines \u2014 they are moving based on a deeper relationship that traders often underestimate: the connection between crude oil and the U.S. dollar. 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