{"id":24105,"date":"2025-10-20T14:33:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T14:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=24105"},"modified":"2025-10-20T14:33:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T14:33:00","slug":"gold-on-fire-market-eyes-4400-as-dollar-weakens-and-risk-appetite-fades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/ms\/daily-analysis\/gold-on-fire-market-eyes-4400-as-dollar-weakens-and-risk-appetite-fades\/","title":{"rendered":"Emas terbakar: Pasaran Mengambil $4,400 apabila Dolar Melemah dan Selera Risiko Pudar"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kemas Kini Pasaran \u2013 20 Oktober 2025<\/h2>\n

Emas Memegang Tahap Rekod; Dolar Dibawah Tekanan Di Tengah Perang Dagangan & Pertaruhan Pemotongan Kadar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udcf0 Perkembangan Utama & Konteks Pasaran<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n

    Spot emas meningkat kepada kira-kira US$4,254.59 \/ oz<\/strong> pada awal dagangan Isnin, hanya selepas rali rekod untuk jongkong.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Perhimpunan itu disokong oleh jangkaan pemotongan kadar Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) selanjutnya di tengah-tengah penutupan kerajaan AS yang berterusan dan ketegangan baharu antara AS dan China.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Tema "perdagangan penurunan harga" - pelabur beralih kepada aset keras seperti emas yang didorong oleh kebimbangan terhadap penurunan nilai mata wang dan lebihan fiskal - semakin mendapat tarikan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Dari sudut yang lebih luas, harga fizikal India terus meningkat, disokong oleh permintaan barang kemas runcit menjelang musim perayaan, menunjukkan rali itu tidak dipacu semata-mata oleh niaga hadapan\/spekulator tetapi juga oleh aliran dunia sebenar.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \n

    \ud83d\udcca Analisis Teknikal + Fundamental<\/h3>\n

    Emas (XAU\/USD)<\/h4>\n

    Pemacu Asas:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    • \n

      Dolar kekal lemah secara perbandingan apabila harga pasaran kewangan dalam lebih banyak pelonggaran Fed, mengurangkan kos bawaan untuk aset tidak menghasilkan seperti emas.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Permintaan tempat selamat terus berkembang, memandangkan ketidaktentuan perdagangan\/geo-politik dan tekanan fiskal (penutupan, kawalan eksport China).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Pembelian bank pusat dan aliran masuk ETF menambah sokongan struktur kepada perhimpunan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      \"\"<\/p>\n

      Tinjauan & Senario Teknikal:<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n
      • \n

        Emas telah menembusi ambang bersejarah utama (melebihi US$4,000) dan menyatu di atas US$4,200.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Tahap sokongan untuk ditonton: berhampiran US$4,095 (sempadan bawah mingguan) mengikut ramalan terkini.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Zon rintangan\/sasaran: Sesetengah penganalisis menyerlahkan potensi peningkatan ke arah US$4,400+ jika momentum berterusan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Jika harga kehilangan sokongan berhampiran US$4,095 atau jatuh semula di bawah saluran aliran meningkat, pembetulan yang lebih mendalam mungkin muncul.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Dolar AS & FX<\/h4>\n
          \n
        • \n

          Indeks dolar AS kekal di bawah tekanan, dengan sentimen condong ke arah pelonggaran selanjutnya daripada mengetatkan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        • \n

          Lantunan semula dalam data makro AS atau komen Fed yang hawkish boleh membalikkan kelemahan dolar dan menekan emas.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        • \n

          Pasangan mata wang silang dan aliran global akan menjadi penting: kelemahan dalam dolar cenderung untuk memacu emas dan pergerakan komoditi; kekuatan boleh menghalang mereka.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          \n

          \ud83c\udfaf Potensi Senario & Rangka Kerja Strategi<\/h3>\n
          \n
          \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
          Senario<\/th>\nKemungkinan Hasil<\/th>\nPencetus Utama \/ Risiko<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
          Kesinambungan menaik (Emas)<\/strong><\/td>\nEmas menembusi melebihi US$4,400, beralih ke US$4,500+ dalam jangka sederhana<\/td>\nDolar lemah yang berterusan, kejutan geopolitik\/perdagangan baharu, aliran ETF\/institusi utama<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          Penyatuan \/ penarikan balik<\/strong><\/td>\nEmas kekal di atas ~US$4,095, berdagang mengiring untuk seketika<\/td>\nPasaran mengambil untung, aliran baharu yang lebih sedikit, permintaan yang reda cuti\/bermusim<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          Risiko pembetulan\/buruk<\/strong><\/td>\nEmas jatuh ke arah zon US$3,900-US$4,000 atau ke bawah<\/td>\nData AS yang kukuh, nada Fed hawkish, pemulihan dolar yang menentukan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          Senario pemulihan dolar<\/strong><\/td>\nUSD tajam bergerak lebih tinggi \u2192 emas dan aset keras lain menderita<\/td>\nCetakan inflasi mengejut, pivots Fed, penyelesaian penutupan kerajaan atau perjanjian perdagangan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
          \n

          \ud83e\udded Kesimpulan & Ambilan<\/h3>\n

          Sehingga 20 Oktober 2025, pasaran emas kekal dalam fasa kenaikan yang kukuh\u2014didorong oleh kedua-dua asas makro dan momentum teknikal. Dengan tahap harga melebihi US$4,200 dan meningkat, persoalannya beralih daripada jika<\/em> emas akan terus rali, untuk betapa tingginya<\/em> dan betapa lestarinya<\/em>.<\/p>\n

          Walau bagaimanapun, persekitaran adalah kompleks dan tidak menentu: kuasa yang sama yang menyokong emas (ketegangan perdagangan, risiko fiskal, dolar yang lemah) boleh beralih dengan cepat. Oleh itu:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • \n

            guna tahap sokongan yang lebih tinggi<\/strong> untuk penyertaan dan bukannya mengejar tahap tertinggi baru.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n

            Pastikan berhenti dan pengurusan risiko ketat sekiranya berlaku pembalikan mendadak.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n

            Pantau peristiwa penting: Agenda mesyuarat Fed, perbincangan AS\u2013China, keluaran data utama.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n

            Pelbagaikan: sementara emas kukuh, elakkan pertaruhan tunggal.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            \n

            Oleh Motasm Adel<\/strong>
            Penyelidik dan Penganalisis Pasaran<\/em><\/p>\n

            Penafian Risiko:<\/strong> Artikel ini adalah untuk tujuan pendidikan sahaja dan bukan merupakan nasihat pelaburan. Pasaran kewangan melibatkan risiko, dan prestasi masa lalu tidak menunjukkan keputusan masa depan. Sentiasa menjalankan penyelidikan anda sendiri dan berunding dengan penasihat bertauliah sebelum membuat sebarang keputusan pelaburan.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

            Kemas Kini Pasaran \u2013 20 Oktober 2025 Emas Memegang Tahap Rekod; Dolar Dibawah Tekanan Di Tengah Perang Dagangan & Pertaruhan Pemotongan Kadar \ud83d\udcf0 Perkembangan Utama & Konteks Pasaran Emas spot meningkat kepada kira-kira US$4,254.59 \/ oz pada awal dagangan Isnin, sejurus selepas rali rekod untuk jongkong. Perhimpunan itu disokong oleh jangkaan Rizab Persekutuan selanjutnya [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":24107,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38,34,28,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis","category-markets-to-watch","category-trade-ideas","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGold on Fire: Market Eyes $4,400 as Dollar Weakens and Risk Appetite Fades - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/OneRoyal.news\/cn\/daily-analysis\/gold-on-fire-market-eyes-4400-as-dollar-weakens-and-risk-appetite-fades\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold on Fire: Market Eyes $4,400 as Dollar Weakens and Risk Appetite Fades - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Update \u2013 20 October 2025 Gold Holds Record Levels; Dollar Under Pressure Amid Trade War & Rate-Cut Bets \ud83d\udcf0 Key Developments & Market Context Spot gold rose to about US$4,254.59 \/ oz as of early Monday trading, just after a record rally for bullion. 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