{"id":23754,"date":"2025-06-26T09:56:44","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T09:56:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=23754"},"modified":"2025-07-23T14:17:14","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T14:17:14","slug":"market-update-june-26-2025-usd-weakness-takes-centre-stage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/ms\/daily-analysis\/market-update-june-26-2025-usd-weakness-takes-centre-stage\/","title":{"rendered":"Kemas Kini Pasaran \u2013 26 Jun 2025: Kelemahan USD Dipertengahkan"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dengan kebimbangan yang semakin meningkat terhadap kemerdekaan Fed dan dolar yang lebih senyap, naratif pasaran berubah dengan tegas memihak kepada USD yang lebih lembut.<\/p>\n

Dolar Merosot ke Paras Rendah Berbilang Tahun akibat Ketidakpastian Fed<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Dolar AS merosot dagangan menghampiri paras paling lemah sejak awal 2021. Penurunannya dipercepat berikutan laporan bahawa Presiden Trump sedang mempertimbangkan penggantian awal untuk Pengerusi Fed Powell, isyarat tersirat tentang peralihan yang lebih dovish.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Indeks Dolar (DXY): Jatuh ke paras terendah tiga tahun selepas jatuh ~0.6% pada berita.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Pasaran FX: Euro dan pound naik ~0.7%; Franc Swiss dan yen juga kukuh, dengan EUR\/USD berada pada tahap tertinggi sejak 2021 dan USD\/JPY baru-baru ini melepasi tahap 143.<\/p>\n

Pemacu Utama Di Sebalik Pergerakan<\/strong><\/h4>\n

1. Kebisingan politik di sekitar kepimpinan Fed<\/p>\n

Laporan Trump menimbang penggantian Powell lebih awal daripada jadual yang berpotensi menjelang September telah mencetuskan kebimbangan pemotongan kadar yang didorong oleh politik, menjejaskan kredibiliti Fed.<\/p>\n

2. Nada-nada dovish daripada penggubal dasar<\/p>\n

Kenyataan kongres Powell baru-baru ini adalah berhati-hati belum ada komitmen untuk pemotongan, tetapi keterbukaan untuk bertindak jika inflasi menjadi reda. Pasaran telah mentafsirkan ini sebagai ruang untuk pelonggaran.<\/p>\n

3. Pusingan modal selamat kepada mata wang lain<\/p>\n

Euro, paun dan beberapa mata wang Asia bermodalkan didorong oleh kelemahan USD, ketidaktentuan tarif dan anjakan geopolitik .<\/p>\n

Memandang ke Hadapan<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\u2022 Pemerhatian Data: Barangan tahan lama, inflasi PCE, laporan pekerjaan kekal penting. Data penyejukan mungkin mengukuhkan pertaruhan pasaran pada pemotongan kadar Julai.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Geopolitik & Tarif: Tarikh akhir 9 Julai mengenai tarif AS-EU semakin hampir\u2014sebarang pecahan dalam perbincangan boleh merumitkan naratif .<\/p>\n

\u2022 Isyarat Fed: Perhatian pasaran akan berpaling kembali kepada kesaksian Powell seterusnya dan pertemuan Fed Julai sebarang peralihan ke arah dovish berasaskan bukti akan mengukuhkan kelembutan USD.<\/p>\n

Kesimpulan<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Pertemuan tekanan politik ke atas Fed, nada dovish daripada penggubal dasar, dan isyarat teknikal yang lemah telah mencetuskan pengunduran secara meluas dalam dolar AS. Mata wang utama lain dan aset EM sedang menikmati masa depan, manakala emas dan ekuiti AS mendapat kedudukan relatif. Cetakan data seterusnya dan komunikasi Fed akan menjadi penting. Buat masa ini, mesejnya jelas: Keletihan USD adalah nyata dan ia membentuk semula aliran portfolio di seluruh dunia.<\/p>\n

Sehingga lain kali anda semua berdagang dengan selamat!<\/p>\n

Oleh James Trescothick
\nKetua Penyelidikan dan Analisis Pasaran<\/p>\n

Penafian Risiko: Maklumat ini adalah untuk tujuan pendidikan sahaja dan bukan merupakan nasihat pelaburan. Pasaran kewangan melibatkan risiko, dan prestasi masa lalu tidak menunjukkan keputusan masa depan. Sentiasa menjalankan penyelidikan anda sendiri dan dapatkan nasihat profesional sebelum membuat keputusan pelaburan.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dengan kebimbangan yang semakin meningkat terhadap kemerdekaan Fed dan dolar yang lebih senyap, naratif pasaran berubah dengan tegas memihak kepada USD yang lebih lembut. Dolar Merosot ke Paras Rendah Berbilang Tahun berikutan Ketidakpastian Fed Dolar AS merosot dagangan menghampiri paras paling lemah sejak awal 2021. Penurunannya semakin pesat berikutan laporan bahawa Presiden Trump sedang mempertimbangkan [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23861,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrading News | Market Update by OneRoyal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD Weakness Takes Centre Stage. 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