{"id":24505,"date":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/?p=24505"},"modified":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:33:34","slug":"oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oneroyal.news\/id\/market-analysis\/oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants\/","title":{"rendered":"Minyak vs Dolar: Pertarungan Senyap yang Menggerakkan Pasar... dan Apa yang Sebenarnya Diinginkan Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><strong>Ikhtisar<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Saat ini, pasar tidak hanya bereaksi terhadap berita utama - pasar bergerak berdasarkan hubungan yang lebih dalam yang sering kali diremehkan oleh para pedagang: hubungan antara minyak mentah dan dolar AS.<\/p>\n<p>Ditambah dengan kembalinya tekanan politik dari Donald Trump, dan kita melihat lingkungan pasar di mana ekonomi dan politik saling terkait erat.<\/p>\n<p>Mari kita uraikan dengan cara yang sederhana.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Hubungan Inti: Minyak vs Dolar<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Ada hubungan terbalik yang terkenal antara minyak dan dolar AS.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ketika dolar naik \u2192 minyak biasanya mengalami kesulitan<\/li>\n<li>Ketika dolar melemah \u2192 minyak cenderung naik<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Kenapa?<\/p>\n<p>Karena minyak dihargai dalam dolar. Dolar yang lebih kuat membuat minyak menjadi lebih mahal untuk negara lain, yang mengurangi permintaan. Dolar yang lebih lemah melakukan hal yang sebaliknya - mendukung permintaan dan mendorong harga lebih tinggi.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Apa yang Kita Lihat Sekarang (Tampilan Teknis)<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Dari grafik:<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Minyak AS (WTI)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Harga baru-baru ini bereaksi dari zona suplai yang kuat di dekat <strong>$100<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Kami melihat adanya penolakan yang diikuti oleh konsolidasi<\/li>\n<li>Pergerakan saat ini menunjukkan stabilisasi di atas <strong>$90-92<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Hal ini memberi tahu kita:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pembeli masih aktif<\/li>\n<li>Namun pasar menunggu katalis untuk melanjutkan kenaikan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><strong>Dolar AS (DXY)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Dolar perlahan-lahan kembali menguat<\/li>\n<li>Area target terlihat jelas di sekitar <strong>100.30<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Momentum sedang dibangun setelah mempertahankan dukungan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Hal ini menciptakan konflik:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dolar yang lebih kuat = tekanan pada minyak<\/li>\n<li>Tetapi risiko geopolitik = dukungan untuk minyak<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Itulah mengapa pasar bergerak sideways dan bukannya tren yang agresif.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Jadi, Di Mana Trump Masuk Dalam Hal Ini?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Donald Trump selalu sangat jelas tentang satu hal:<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Dia lebih suka <strong>harga minyak yang lebih rendah<\/strong><br \/>\n\ud83d\udc49 Dia lebih memilih <strong>ekonomi AS yang kuat (belum tentu dolar yang terlalu kuat)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Kenapa?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Harga minyak yang tinggi = inflasi yang lebih tinggi<\/li>\n<li>Inflasi yang lebih tinggi = tekanan pada konsumen dan bisnis<\/li>\n<li>Hal itu secara langsung mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi dan stabilitas politik<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Jadi, secara tidak langsung, ada tekanan terhadap:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Meningkatkan pasokan<\/li>\n<li>Mengurangi ketegangan geopolitik<\/li>\n<li>Atau bahkan mempengaruhi kebijakan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>... dapat dilihat sebagai upaya untuk menjaga minyak tetap terkendali.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Apa yang Ditunggu Pasar<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Saat ini, para trader memperhatikan tiga hal utama:<\/p>\n<h3>1. <strong>Kekuatan Dolar<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Jika DXY menembus di atas <strong>100.30<\/strong>, kita bisa melihat:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lebih banyak tekanan pada minyak<\/li>\n<li>Kemungkinan kemunduran ke arah <strong>88\u201390<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>2. <strong>Perkembangan Geopolitik<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Setiap eskalasi dalam ketegangan:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Mendukung minyak dengan kuat<\/li>\n<li>Dapat mengesampingkan kekuatan dolar sepenuhnya<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>3. <strong>Berita Sisi Penawaran<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Keputusan OPEC<\/li>\n<li>Gangguan pengiriman<\/li>\n<li>Perubahan produksi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ini adalah pendorong utama untuk langkah selanjutnya.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Kesimpulan<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Pasar saat ini berada dalam kondisi seimbang namun rapuh.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Minyak didukung... tetapi tidak pecah<\/li>\n<li>Dolar naik... tetapi tidak secara agresif<\/li>\n<li>Politik menambah ketidakpastian<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ini bukan pasar tren - ini adalah pasar <strong>zona keputusan<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Langkah besar berikutnya akan datang dari:<br \/>\n\ud83d\udc49 Penembusan yang jelas dalam dolar<br \/>\n\ud83d\udc49 Atau pergeseran geopolitik yang besar<\/p>\n<p>Hingga saat itu, trader yang cerdas tetap bersabar dan membiarkan pasar menunjukkan arahnya.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dipersiapkan oleh: Motasm Adel<br \/>\nAnalis Pasar Senior - OneRoyal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Penafian Risiko:<\/strong><br \/>\nPerdagangan di pasar keuangan melibatkan tingkat risiko yang tinggi dan mungkin tidak cocok untuk semua investor. Informasi yang diberikan dalam artikel ini hanya untuk tujuan edukasi dan informasi dan tidak dapat dianggap sebagai saran investasi atau rekomendasi untuk membeli atau menjual instrumen keuangan apa pun.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ikhtisar Saat ini, pasar tidak hanya bereaksi terhadap berita utama - pasar bergerak berdasarkan hubungan yang lebih dalam yang sering diremehkan oleh para pedagang: hubungan antara minyak mentah dan dolar AS. Ditambah dengan kembalinya tekanan politik dari Donald Trump, dan kita melihat lingkungan pasar di mana ekonomi dan politik [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":24506,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Oil vs Dollar: The Silent Battle Driving Markets\u2026 and What Trump Really Wants - OneRoyal News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/OneRoyal.news\/cn\/market-analysis\/oil-vs-dollar-the-silent-battle-driving-markets-and-what-trump-really-wants\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oil vs Dollar: The Silent Battle Driving Markets\u2026 and What Trump Really Wants - OneRoyal News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Overview Right now, markets are not just reacting to headlines \u2014 they are moving based on a deeper relationship that traders often underestimate: the connection between crude oil and the U.S. dollar. 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