Lo que est\u00e1 ocurriendo ahora<\/strong><\/p>\nWall Street ha estado de buen humor, arrastrando a los mercados asi\u00e1ticos y europeos. La esperanza de que el dinero sea m\u00e1s barato ha animado a los inversores. El Nikkei japon\u00e9s se ha mostrado especialmente animado, gracias a sus valores tecnol\u00f3gicos y de inteligencia artificial, mientras que los \u00edndices europeos se mantienen tranquilos a pesar de sus propias preocupaciones sobre el crecimiento.<\/p>\n
En Estados Unidos, la historia es m\u00e1s bien un acto de equilibrio. La inflaci\u00f3n subi\u00f3 al 2,9% en agosto, no exactamente lo que la Reserva Federal quer\u00eda ver. Al mismo tiempo, las solicitudes de subsidio de desempleo aumentaron, lo que indica que el mercado laboral est\u00e1 perdiendo un poco de fuelle. As\u00ed pues, la Reserva Federal se encuentra ante el cl\u00e1sico dilema: recortar los tipos para apoyar el empleo y arriesgarse a avivar la inflaci\u00f3n, o mantener la pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva y arriesgarse a enfriar a\u00fan m\u00e1s la econom\u00eda. En cualquier caso, alguien no estar\u00e1 contento.<\/p>\n
Las materias primas cuentan su propia historia. Los precios del petr\u00f3leo bajaron porque se espera que la oferta supere a la demanda. Una buena noticia para los automovilistas, pero no tan buena para los valores energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n
Lo que hay que ver la semana que viene<\/strong><\/p>\nEl acontecimiento principal es la reuni\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal del mi\u00e9rcoles. Se espera un recorte de un cuarto de punto, y los mercados ya lo dan por hecho. Pero el verdadero drama es lo que Jerome Powell diga despu\u00e9s. \u00bfInsinuar\u00e1 m\u00e1s recortes o se mostrar\u00e1 cauto y nos recordar\u00e1 que la inflaci\u00f3n a\u00fan no ha sido domada?<\/p>\n
Reflexiones finales<\/strong><\/p>\nLa reuni\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal de la semana que viene es la gran cita, pero recuerde: el recorte en s\u00ed no lo es todo. Lo que importa es el camino a seguir. \u00bfEstamos ante una serie de recortes, o se trata de un trabajo de una sola vez?
\nPor ahora, los mercados est\u00e1n alegres, quiz\u00e1 demasiado. Como siempre, vale la pena disfrutar del viaje, pero con el cintur\u00f3n abrochado. El camino que queda por recorrer podr\u00eda seguir siendo accidentado.<\/p>\n
En fin, hasta la pr\u00f3xima, \u00a1todos a operar con seguridad!<\/p>\n
Por James Trescothick
\nJefe de Investigaci\u00f3n y An\u00e1lisis de Mercados<\/p>\n
Descargo de responsabilidad por riesgos: Esta informaci\u00f3n tiene \u00fanicamente fines educativos y no constituye asesoramiento en materia de inversi\u00f3n. Los mercados financieros entra\u00f1an riesgos, y las rentabilidades pasadas no son indicativas de resultados futuros. Realice siempre su propia investigaci\u00f3n y busque asesoramiento profesional antes de tomar decisiones de inversi\u00f3n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Si los mercados fueran una telenovela, esta semana ha estado llena de cliff-hangers. Las acciones han subido, el petr\u00f3leo se ha enfurru\u00f1ado y todo el mundo espera la gran revelaci\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal la semana que viene. La pregunta es sencilla: \u00bfbajar\u00e1 la Fed los tipos y, lo que es igual de importante, qu\u00e9 dir\u00e1 sobre lo que viene despu\u00e9s? [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":23981,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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